Buying in realty and select auto shares helped key benchmark indices regain positive zone in afternoon trade after the Reserve Bank of India kept key policy rates unchanged at their historically lowest levels at a quarterly monetary policy review today, 28 July 2009. The BSE 30-share Sensex was up 13.33 points or 0.09%, up 148.36 points from the day's low and off 65.47 points from the day's high. European markets opened on a firm note and most Asian stocks were in green today, 28 July 2009.
The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was strong. The BSE Mid-Cap and BSE Small-Cap indices outperforming the Sensex.
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) on Monday, 27 July 2009 introduced some new norms for the comprehensive risk management system for the equity markets in the cash segment, in a move which would now reduce the margin burden on brokers. Sebi said that in case of a buy transaction in cash market, value at risk (VaR) margins, extreme loss margins and mark to market losses together will not exceed the purchase value of the transaction.
The market was volatile. After a firm start triggered by government sops to stimulate the economy announced after trading hours on Monday, 27 July 2009, the market soon slipped into the red. It cut losses after the RBI's policy announcement at about 11:15 IST. However the intraday recovery proved short lived. The market weakened again. The market bounced back one again in afternoon trade as the RBI kept policy rates at record low levels.
The RBI has kept the key rates unchanged and increased the inflation forecast to 5% by end March 2010 from earlier 4%. The repo rate, at which the central bank lends cash to banks, stays at 4.75%, and the reverse repo rate, at which it absorbs surplus cash from the banking system, stays at 3.25%. Both these rates are at record low level. The statutory liquidity ratio (SLR) was also kept unchanged at 24%.
The RBI also kept the cash reserve ratio (CRR), the amount of funds banks have to keep on deposit with it, unchanged at 5%. The RBI said the deposit growth is seen at 19% adding that there is scope for the banks to cut interest rates. The GDP is expected to grow at 6% in FY 2010, with an upward bias, the central bank said
RBI said it will maintain an accommodative monetary stance until robust signs of recovery in the economy are visible. The central bank will be ready with a roadmap to reverse the expansionary stance quickly and effectively thereafter. The Reserve Bank of India will have to reverse the expansionary measures to anchor inflation expectations and subdue inflationary pressures while preserving the growth momentum The exit strategy will be modulated in accordance with the evolving macroeconomic developments, the RBI said.
The conduct of monetary policy will continue to condition and contain perception of inflation in the range of 4% to 4.5%. This will be in line with the medium-term objective of 3% inflation consistent with India's broader integration with the global economy, the RBI said.
The central bank said it will actively manage liquidity to avoid government borrowing crowding out private credit demand. RBI also said that government will need to return to a path of fiscal consolidation
Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee after trading hours on Monday, 28 July 2009 announced tax breaks for industrial park schemes and developers of real estate and road projects to stimulate the economy and lift growth to 8-9 percent by the end of 2010. He announced a 1% subsidy on home loans up to Rs 10 lakh, when the overall cost of the house does not exceed Rs 20 lakh.
In another measure that that could provide a boost to the realty sector the government has allowed developers of housing projects a tax holiday under section 80 IB(10) of the Income Tax Act on profits from projects approved between 1 April 2007 and 31 March 2008. The benefit is subject to a condition that the projects are completed on or before 31 March 2012.
The government has also extended tax holiday to developers of industrial parks by two years until March 2011. A tax holiday for firms engaged in food processing has also been extended. Producers of natural gas from coal-bed methane blocks would also be extended tax breaks.
Annual monsoon rains, running between June to September, are seeing a revival after a sluggish start. India's monsoon rains were 15% above normal in the week to 22 July 2009, the second consecutive week of above-average rainfall after an exceptionally dry patch at the start of the season. Total cumulative monsoon, which runs from June to September, was 19% below average, improving from a 27% deficit in the previous week, the India Meteorological Department said on Thursday, 23 July 2009.
More than two-thirds of the people live in villages and 60% of the farm land depends on the annual rains.
Meanwhile investor focus may shift from secondary market to the primary market as Adani Power's initial public offer of 30.16 crore shares in the price band Rs 90-100 opened for subscription from today, 28 July 2009. The issue received strong investors response and was subscribed 3.87 times by 13:00 IST. Adani said institutions including T. Rowe Price International Inc. demanded twice as many shares as offered in the so-called anchor investor portion of its initial sale.
The company will raise up to Rs 3,016 crore at the upper end of the price band, making it the second-biggest issue after Reliance Power.
Close on the heels of Adani Power, state-run NHPC is ready to hit the primary market in August to raise Rs 1,680 crore. Besides, Oil India and Pipavav Shipyard collectively plan to raise over Rs 2000 crore. Earlier, on 17 July 2009 the government said it is considering a part sale of its shareholding in the telecom monolith Bharat Sanchar Nigam (BSNL) to the public. Currently, the government fully owns BSNL.
The Q1 June 2009 results announced so far have encouraging, with lower costs helping bottomline growth. The combined net profit of 858 companies rose 16.5% to Rs 45747 crore on 2.1% growth in sales to Rs 355857 crore in Q1 June 2009 over Q1 June 2008.
But equities may remain volatile ahead of expiry of July 2009 futures and options (F&O) contract on Thursday, 30 July 2009. As per reports, rollover of Nifty positions from July 2009 contacts to August 2009 contracts stood at 30%, as of Monday, 27 July 2009.
European markets were firm in opening trade led by pharma stocks. Key benchmark indices in UK, Germany and France were up by between 0.35% and 0.63%
Asian markets were were in green today, 28 July 2009. Key benchmark indices in Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, South Korea rose by between 0.13% and 1.62%. However indices in China, and Japan were down 0.68% and 0.01% respectively, pausing after a week-long rally
US markets ended modestly higher on Monday, 27 July 2009 led by gains in banking shares after a bout of profit taking in early trade. The Dow Jones industrial average rose 15.27 points, or 0.17%, to 9,108.51. The S&P 500 index rose 2.92 points, or 030%, to 982.18, while the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.93 points, or 0.10%, to 1,967.89.
On the economic front, the new home sales in June 2009 rose the most in more than eight years. Sales spiked 11% to hit a better-than-expected annualised rate of 3.84 lakh units.
Trading in US index futures showed the Dow could rise 0 points at the opening bell on Tuesday, 28 July 2009.
At 12:25 IST, the BSE 30-share Sensex was up 13.33 points or 0.09% to 15,388.89. The Sensex opened 47.53 points higher at 15,422.57. The Sensex rose 79.32 points at the day's high of 15,454.36 in early trade. The Sensex lost 134.51 points at the day's low of 15,240.53 in mid-morning trade.
The S&P CNX Nifty was up 3.90 points or 0.09% to 4,576.20
The BSE clocked a turnover of Rs 4050 crore at 13:25 IST as compared with Rs 3171 crore by 12:25 IST
The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was strong. On BSE, 1589 shares advanced as compared with 925 that declined. 75 shares remained unchanged.
The BSE Mid-Cap index was up 0.92% to 5,519.79 and the BSE Small-Cap index rose 1.59% to 6,240.67. Both these indices outperformed the Sense.
Among the 30-member Sensex pack, 22 advanced while the rest declined
Some auto stocks rose after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept key policy rates unchanged at their historical low at its quarterly monetary policy review today, 28 July 2009.
India's largest truck market by sales Tata Motors jumped 7.47% to Rs 402.95 after a 3.76% jump in its ADR on Monday, 27 July 2009. It was the top gainer from the Sensex pack. The company reported 57.54% rise in net profit to Rs 513.76 crore on a 7.17% decline in total income to Rs 6723.99 crore in Q1 June 2009 over Q1 June 2008. Analysts had expected a steep fall in net profit due to lower sales volume. The result was announced at the fag end of the trading sessions today, 27 July 2009.
Tata Motors attributed the strong results to continued focus on cost efficiencies, decline in raw material prices and improvement in sales realization
India's largest tractor maker by sales Mahindra & Mahindra advanced 1.82% to Rs 831.10, rebounding from day's low of Rs 812.50. The company will unveil its Q1 June 2009 earnings on 30 July 2009.
India's top small car maker by sales Maruti Suzuki India declined 0.87%. The stock had stuck a record high of Rs 1397.50 in intra-day trade on Friday, 24 July 2009 buoyed by better than expected results announced during market hours on Thursday, 23 July 2009.
India's largest bike manufacturer by sales Hero Honda Motors lost 0.39% ahead of its Q1 June 2009 results on 29 July 2009.
Realty stocks gained after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept key policy rates unchanged at their historical low at its quarterly monetary policy review today, 28 July 2009.
DLF (up 3.83%), Unitech (up 6.82%), Housing Development & Infrastructure (up 4.65%), Parsvnath Developers (up 1.51%), Omaxe (up 1.56%), and Indiabulls Real Estate (up 1.49%), advanced.
In another measure that that could provide a boost to the realty sector the government has allowed developers of housing projects a tax holiday under section 80 IB(10) of the Income Tax Act on profits from projects approved between 1 April 2007 and 31 March 2008. The benefit is subject to a condition that the projects are completed on or before 31 March 2012.
India's largest power generation company by sales NTPC rose 1.52% after net profit jumped 27.1% to Rs 2193.62 crore on a 25.8% increase in sales to Rs 12002.68 crore in Q1 June 2009 over Q1 June 2008. The result was announced after market hours yesterday, 27 July 2009.
Bank stocks were subdued after the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) in its quarterly monetary policy review today, 28 July 2009, raised inflation forecast. India's largest private sector bank by net profit ICICI Bank was down 2.12% to Rs 741.70 and was the top loser from the Sensex pack. The bank's net profit rose 20.63% to Rs 878.22 crore on a 9.61% decline in total income to Rs 7133.44 crore in Q1 June 2009 over Q1 June 2008. The bank reported its earnings on Saturday, 25 July 2009.
India's biggest bank in terms of branch network State Bank of India (SBI) fell 1.23%. The state-run bank reduced interest rates on deposits by 25-50 basis points (a basis point equals one-hundredth of a percentage point) with effect from Monday, 27 July 2009.
India's second largest private sector bank in terms of operating income HDFC Bank slipped 1.09% mirroring a 1.9% fall in its American depository receipt (ADR) on Monday, 27 July 2009.
IT stocks were mixed, recovering from early lows. India's second largest IT firm by sales Infosys lost 2.03% to Rs 1981.50, off day's low of Rs 1968.25. India's largest IT exporter by sales TCS rose 0.12% to Rs 481, after slipping to day's low of Rs 472. On 17 July 2009, TCS announced Q1 results that beat market expectations. India's third largest IT exporter by sales Wipro gained 0.82% to Rs 463.50, after touching day's low of Rs 452. On 22 July 2009, Wipro announced better-than-expected Q1 results.
India's largest private sector firm by market capitalisation and oil refiner Reliance Industries (RIL) fell 1.21% to Rs 1915.80, extending yesterday's over 3.78% fall. The fall in the stock materialised after the company posted disappointing Q1 June 2009 results after trading hours on Friday, 24 July 2009. Nevertheless, the stock recovered from day's low of Rs 1891
RIL's net profit fell 11.5% to Rs 3636 crore on a 22.9% decline in sales to Rs 32055 crore in Q1 June 2009 over Q1 June 2008. Reliance Industries (RIL) saw its net profit dip for the third straight quarter, as margins from its refining business halved and the global recession reduced fuel demand. RIL's gross refining margins (GRMs) - the difference between cost of crude oil and the price of refined petroleum products - came down 52.22% to $7.5 per barrel in Q1 June 2009 compared with $15.7 per barrel in Q1 June 2008.
Telecom pivotals held firm ahead of meeting of a Group of Ministers (GoM) to decide on the base price for 3G spectrum on 31 July 2009.
India's largest cellular services provider by sales Bharti Airtel rose 1.07%. As per reports, Bharti Airtel and South Africa's MTN may extend by about four weeks their 31 July 2009 deadline for talks to agree on a merger.
Bharti and MTN have been in exclusive talks that could lead to a merger creating the world's No. 3 wireless group with more than 200 million subscribers and combined revenue of $20 billion.
India's second largest cellular services provider by sales Reliance Communications rose 2.06%.
The GoM is set up to look into matters relating to pricing of spectrum and number of operators to be allowed in each telecom circle. The finance ministry had proposed a base price of Rs 4,040 crore for 3G spectrum, whereas the Department of Telecom (DoT) suggested a price of Rs 3,540 crore. While presenting the Union Budget, the finance minister, Mr Pranab Mukherjee, said Rs 35,000 crore was expected to be raised from the auction.
India's largest FMCG company by sales Hindustan Unilever was unchanged at Rs 299 ahead of its Q1 June 2009 results today, 28 July 2009.
Diversified major Grasim Industries was up 0.90% ahead of its Q1 June 2009 results today, 28 July 2009. The stock moved in a range of Rs 2870 and Rs 2938 so far in the day.
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